Falsifiability and Predictions
In this document:
- , — density matrix, reduced density matrix of the Interiority dimension
- — context (states of all dimensions except )
- — eigenvalues of (intensities)
- L0, L1, L2 — interiority hierarchy levels
- — Fubini-Study metric
- , — threshold values
Falsification Criteria
Experimental Predictions
The extended theory makes testable predictions:
1. Isospectral discrimination
Two states , with but should yield:
- Identical experience intensity (spectrum determines intensity)
- Distinguishable experience quality (eigenvectors determine quality)
Numerical criteria:
- Spectra 'identical':
- Vectors 'distinguishable': , where
- Quality 'distinguishable': rad
Test: Create isospectral neural states, measure phenomenal reports.
2. Contextual modulation
Changing context with fixed should alter the quality of experience without changing intensity.
Numerical criteria:
- 'fixed':
- Context 'changed':
- Intensity 'constant':
- Quality 'changed': phenomenal report distinguishable with (statistical test)
Test: Modulate context (attention, mood) at constant stimulus, measure changes in perceptual quality.
3. Adaptation dynamics
Experiential content (levels L1–L2) should follow the adaptation law:
where:
- — subjective experience intensity at time
- — maximum eigenvalue of
- — average over adaptation period
This prediction follows from the fact that perception encodes changes relative to baseline (Weber-Fechner law), not absolute values.
Numerical criteria:
- Correlation
- Regression slope (close to 1)
- RMSE (error less than half the standard deviation)
- Adaptation period ms (typical range)
Test: Measure the temporal dynamics of adaptation, compare with prediction.
4. Metric relations
Distances in phenomenal space (L1) should correspond to the Fubini-Study metric:
where — equivalence class in projective space.
Numerical criteria:
- Spearman correlation
- Monotonicity: violations of the total number of pairs
- Metric consistency: (triangle inequality)
- MDS reconstruction: stress when mapping to
Test: Build a phenomenal quality map (L1), compare with predicted geometry.
Refutation Criterion
The theory is falsified if:
where:
- — full invariant
- — experience functor
That is, if two states with identical full invariants (spectrum + eigenvectors + context + history) yield distinguishable experience.
The -rigidity theorem [T] refines the notion of 'identity': two states are considered physically identical if for some . The full invariant is defined on the space (34 parameters). The eigenvectors in the table below implicitly assume a fixed -gauge; under gauge change , but the inner products are -invariant.
Operational tolerances:
| Invariant component | 'Identity' criterion |
|---|---|
| Spectrum | |
| Eigenvectors | |
| Context | |
| History |
| Interiority | 'Distinguishability' criterion |
|---|---|
| Phenomenal report | Statistically distinguishable (, Wilcoxon test) |
| Behavioural marker | AUC > 0.7 in discrimination task |
For experimental verification it is sufficient to compare the spectrum and eigenvectors (without history): if and , but , the theory is falsified.
The full invariant is a theoretical ideal. Operational realisation:
- Spec(ρ): measurable via quantum state tomography
- Eigvec(ρ): measurable via full tomography (neural correlates)
- Γ_{-E}: approximately measurable via partial trace — discarding the E-component
- Hist: approximated via time correlators (two-point functions, accessible via fMRI/EEG)
The falsification criterion is strict in the theoretical sense and approximate in the experimental sense. This is the standard situation for theories with directly unobservable objects (cf. the wave function in QM).
See also: КК falsification criteria — additional operational criteria for the applied theory.
Current Empirical Status
| Prediction | Status | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| Isospectral discrimination | Open | Requires neurophenomenological experiments |
| Contextual modulation | Partially confirmed | Consistent with attention influence data |
| Adaptation dynamics | Consistent | Consistent with Weber-Fechner law |
| Metric relations | Open | Requires phenomenal space mapping (L1) |
| Functional purity | Programme | for of functioning systems |
| P-quality correlation | Programme | Correlation of with functional quality: |
| F-m_t: GeV | Consistent | Observation: GeV |
| F-Cabibbo: | Consistent | Observation: () |
| F-δ_CP: | Consistent () | Observation: , |
| F-Gap-1: Gap_intra < Gap_inter | Open | Requires ISF analysis of fMRI |
| F-ISF: 6–12 ISF components | Open | Requires systematic fMRI analysis |
| F-ξ: pc | Open | Testable through LSS surveys |
| F-nEDM: (T-99) | Consistent | e·cm (PSI 2020) |
| F-τ_p: years | Open | Hyper-K: sensitivity years |
| F-Higgs: – | Open | Awaiting FCC-hh |
Falsifiable predictions from Fano integration
Predictions are derived from the integration of Fano geometry with Gap dynamics, Gap thermodynamics, and RG flow. Each prediction is assigned a rigour status in accordance with the registry.
F-Gap-1: Intra-triplet Gap below inter-triplet
The mean Gap within Fano triplets is lower than between them. Coherences belonging to the same Fano line are more transparent (closer to ) than coherences connecting different lines.
Testability: ISF components (independent slow features) in fMRI. Intra-triplet correlations should systematically exceed inter-triplet correlations.
Status: [H] Hypothesis — consequence of Gap semantics and G₂-covariance.
F-Gap-2: Block transparency by Fano triplets
Coherences within the same Fano line are more strongly correlated, forming a block structure in the coherence matrix . The Fano dissipator preserves triplet coherences ([T], G₂-structure), generating distinguished block transparency.
Testability: Correlation analysis of the coherence matrix — 7 blocks of (by Fano lines) should be statistically separated from off-block elements.
Status: [T] Theorem — consequence of theorems 10.1–10.3 (Fano channel preserves coherences, status registry).
F-ξ: Fano correlation length
The correlation length of Fano structure in large-scale structure. The scale is determined by RG suppression of the cubic coupling and the phase diagram of the Gap potential.
Testability: Large-scale structure of the Universe — correlation function on scales – pc. Absence of a preferred scale pc falsifies the prediction.
Status: [T] Theorem — theorems 9.1–9.2 (status registry).
F-τ_p: Proton lifetime
The proton lifetime, computed from the masses of -leptoquarks via the Gap hierarchy.
Testability: Hyper-Kamiokande experiment (sensitivity up to years). Current Super-K limit: years. The prediction lies 2–3 orders of magnitude above Hyper-K sensitivity — direct detection of decay at this is unlikely, but detection of decay at years falsifies the prediction.
The prediction – years exceeds the sensitivity of Hyper-K ( years for ) by 2–3 orders of magnitude. Direct verification is impossible in the foreseeable future. Indirect constraints are possible via neutron-antineutron oscillations.
Status: [H] Hypothesis — depends on the precision of the computation (proton decay).
F-m_t: Top quark mass from the Pendleton-Ross fixed point
The top quark mass is derived from the quasi-IR Pendleton-Ross fixed point. The unique Fano-Higgs line admits a tree-level Yukawa coupling only for the third generation; the RG evolution of this coupling is attracted to the fixed point that fixes .
Testability: Already consistent with observations ( GeV). The prediction is falsified by a significant shift in the experimental value.
Status: [T] Theorem — theorem 5.1 (status registry, Yukawa hierarchy).
F-ISF: ISF components in fMRI
The number of ISF components (independent slow features) in fMRI data is determined by the opacity rank of the Gap operator. At full transparency (all ) the rank is 0 and all 21 coherences are active; at full opacity the rank is maximal (21). For biologically realistic regimes the rank is –, giving to active independent components.
Testability: ISF component analysis of fMRI data. Systematic detection of or falsifies the prediction. The dependence of on the state of consciousness (wakefulness / sleep / anaesthesia) should correlate with the rank of the Gap operator.
Status: [H] Hypothesis — consequence of Gap dynamics and the interiority hierarchy.
F-Neural: Neural correlates of L-levels [C with bridge assumption]
The form of scaling relations (threshold at , monotonic dependence of on connectivity) is derived [C with bridge assumption]. Numerical coefficients are empirical. Experimental protocol: fMRI/EEG during anaesthesiawakefulness transitions to verify the threshold.
Testability: Measurement of the jump under pharmacological control of anaesthesia depth (sevoflurane, propofol). Prediction: existence of a sharp transition , not gradual sliding. The dependence is monotonic.
Status: [C with bridge assumption] — the scaling form is derived from theory; numerical coefficients require empirical calibration.
F-Higgs: Higgs self-coupling deviation
The octonionic correction to the Higgs sector modifies the Higgs self-coupling at the level of – relative to the Standard Model prediction.
Testability: FCC-hh collider (sensitivity to several percent). If FCC-hh measures with precision and detects a deviation of order — that is confirmation. Absence of deviations at precision — falsification.
Status: [H] Hypothesis — depends on non-perturbative computations in the Higgs sector.
F-δ_CP: CKM CP-phase from the Fano phase
The CKM matrix CP-phase is derived from the geometric phase of the Fano plane. Observed value: . At combined uncertainty the discrepancy is .
Testability: Refinement of the experimental value at LHCb and Belle II. The prediction is falsified if shifts beyond from (i.e. beyond ).
Status: [H] Hypothesis — depends on the Fritzsch texture and loop corrections.
F-Cabibbo: Cabibbo angle from RG suppression of the Fano angle
The Cabibbo angle is derived from RG suppression of the fundamental Fano angle . Observed value: .
Testability: Consistent with current data (, corresponding to ). The prediction is falsified by a significant revision of .
Status: [H] Hypothesis — depends on loop corrections and RG flow.
F-nEDM: Neutron EDM ( exactly)
Prediction [T] (T-99): exactly (structural proof), not . Neutron electric dipole moment:
Current experimental limit: e·cm (PSI 2020). Future experiments (n2EDM, nEDM@SNS) will reach sensitivity e·cm.
Falsification: Detection of at any level → direct refutation of T-99.
Difference from axion solution: The axion allows — non-zero, albeit ultra-small. Gap theory predicts a strict zero.
Status: [T] Theorem — T-99 (status registry, confinement).
Summary table of predictions
| Code | Prediction | Falsification criterion | Experiment | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-Gap-1 | Systematically | fMRI (ISF) | [H] | |
| F-Gap-2 | Block transparency by Fano triplets | Absence of block structure in coherences | fMRI | [T] |
| F-ξ | pc | Absence of preferred scale pc | LSS surveys | [T] |
| F-τ_p | years | years | Hyper-K | [H] |
| F-m_t | GeV | Significant shift in | Colliders | [T] |
| F-ISF | 6–12 ISF components | fMRI | [H] | |
| F-Neural | Threshold , monotonic (connectivity) | Gradual transition without threshold | fMRI/EEG (anaesthesia) | [C with bridge] |
| F-Higgs | – | No deviations at precision | FCC-hh | [H] |
| F-δ_CP | LHCb, Belle II | [H] | ||
| F-Cabibbo | Significant revision of | Kaon experiments | [H] | |
| F-nEDM | (T-99: exactly) | at any level | n2EDM, nEDM@SNS | [T] |
Predictions marked [T] are based on rigorously proved theorems (see status registry). The octonionic bridge is fully closed [T] (T15). Predictions marked [H] require additional computations or contain gaps in the physical arguments.
Completeness of Theory
The theory is complete in the following sense:
- Self-sufficiency: Requires no external postulates or references
- Universality: Applicable to structural aspects of self-referential systems — from quantum to cognitive
- Internal consistency: Contains no contradictions
- Operationality: Can be computationally implemented
- Explanatory power: Resolves traditional philosophical problems
- Falsifiability: Makes testable predictions about the structure of experience
- Formal rigour: Key theorems proved (7D minimality, operator φ, functor F)
- Compatibility with QM: The nonlinear regenerative term does not violate the no-signalling constraint — proved via the CPTP property of (conditions NS1-NS3)
- Ensemble independence: Evolution is defined on (density matrix), not on wave functions — does not depend on decomposition
- Computational consistency: The nonlinearity does not provide acceleration beyond BQP
Vulnerability analysis
Systematic analysis of five main vulnerabilities of the theory (2026):
| # | Vulnerability | Initial status | Result | New status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | as postulate | Not empirically verified | 15+ independent derivations [T]: Theorem S (minimality) + octonionic derivation + T15 (bridge) | Closed (theoretically) |
| 2 | [C] | Conditional theorem | T-129 [T]: from first principles → T-151 [T]: unconditionally | Closed (fully) |
| 3 | counterintuitive | Requires empirical verification | Algebraic identity [T], physical interpretation, T-124 [T] (non-emptiness of Goldilocks zone) | Closed (theoretically) |
| 4 | No experiments | 157+ theorems without lab verification | ~30 testable predictions, 5 post-hoc coincidences (F-m_t, F-Cabibbo, F-δ_CP, F-nEDM, Weber-Fechner) | Confirmed (requires experiment) |
| 5 | Quantum nature of | Tegmark decoherence | T-132 [T] (necessity of complex ) + T-153 [T] (substrate closure), but Tegmark argument not fully addressed | Partially open |
Summary: 3 of 5 vulnerabilities closed theoretically; 1 is fundamentally experimental; 1 is deeply open (quantum nature of ).
Theory Boundaries
Acknowledging boundaries is not a weakness, but a strength of a scientific theory. A theory that claims to explain everything without exception is most likely unscientific.
Structural Boundaries (what is not proved)
| Question | Status | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| Why 7 dimensions? | Minimality proved | But not uniqueness |
| Values of constants , , | Empirical | Not derived from axioms |
| Uniqueness of | Not proved | Other 'universes' possible |
| Uniqueness of partition | Proved [T] | All 7 dimensions are functionally unique (A,S,D,L,U — algebraically; E,O — via κ₀) |
Physical Boundaries
| Question | Status | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| Einstein equations | [T] Derived | Spectral action (T-65); derived (T-120) |
| Standard Model | Structure [T], parameters partially | [T]; specific masses — partially |
| Spacetime dimensionality | [T] Derived | Sectoral decomposition + Connes reconstruction (T-119, T-120) |
| Constants , , | [T] derived, , not explained | (T-65); , — fundamental |
Phenomenal Boundaries (what is taken as axiom)
-
Categorical gap: The theory does not explain why mathematical structures are 'felt.' The identity of being and experience — Axiom Ω⁷, not a theorem.
-
Qualia calibration: The correspondence between specific eigenvalues/eigenvectors and specific qualities of experience is established empirically.
Which specific corresponds to 'red' is an empirical question, not a theoretical defect. This is analogous to how the electron mass is not derived from the Standard Model. The structure of experience (spectral decomposition) is the unique functor compatible with the axiomatics, but the specific calibration is determined experimentally.
-
Absolute qualia: The question of the existence of context-independent qualia remains open.
-
Thresholds L2: [T] — derived from triadic decomposition ( types of dynamics from axioms) + Bayesian dominance. [T] — unique self-consistent value at (T-129).
Categorical Boundaries
-
is not a topos: It is proved that the category is not a topos — there is no internal logic of experiential content.
-
Functor is non-invertible: One cannot uniquely recover from experiential content — different states may yield 'identical' experience.
-
Problem of time: The category is static; time requires an external parameter.
Status of Boundaries
These boundaries are not a deficiency, but an acknowledgement:
- The theory describes structure, not the question of 'why this particular structure'
- Some questions may be beyond any possible explanation
- Honest acknowledgement of boundaries is a mark of a mature theory
Comparison with physics: Physics does not explain why the laws of nature exist — it describes their structure. Analogously, UHM describes the structure of experience, acknowledging the boundaries of explanation.
Octonionic Falsification Criteria
The structural derivation through octonions generates additional testable predictions:
| Prediction | Falsification criterion | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Fano symmetries of coherences | 7 triplets of the Fano plane should be distinguishable in the structure of coherences | [T] |
| -covariance | The dynamics of must be covariant with respect to , not the full | [T] |
| Associator anomalies | Triple interactions of dimensions should exhibit non-associativity: | [T] |
| Hamming threshold | Structure : system is viable with loss of up to 3 of 7 coherences (error correction) | [T] |
The connection (AP)+(PH)+(QG)+(V) → P1+P2 is established via the complete formal chain T15 (12 steps, all [T]). T11–T13 prove the former condition (МП). All octonionic predictions are consequences of the structural derivation [T].
Research programme
Boundaries do not mean a halt to development. Open directions:
| Direction | Goal | Priority |
|---|---|---|
| Quantum gravity | Derive from | High |
| Experimental validation of thresholds | Verify , empirically | High |
| Isospectral experiments | Test prediction 1 with numerical tolerances | High |
| ISF analysis of fMRI | Verify F-Gap-1, F-Gap-2, F-ISF | High |
| Non-perturbative computations | Refine F-Higgs, F-τ_p | High |
| Correlation length | Verify F-ξ through LSS surveys | Medium |
| Connection with Hoffman | Prove equivalence with the theory of conscious agents | Medium |
| -topos | Construct -topos on | Low |
| Standard Model | Close the derivation of from the Gap hierarchy | Long-term |
Related documents:
- Glossary — definitions of terms
- Status registry — complete registry of results with classification [T]/[H]/[P]/[I]/[D]
- Axiom Ω⁷ — ∞-topos as primitive
- Mathematical apparatus — formal definitions of ,
- Interiority hierarchy — levels L0→L1→L2→L3→L4, thresholds , ,
- Categorical formalism — functor , categories and
- 7D minimality theorem — proof of
- Structural derivation via octonions — P1+P2 → → N=7
- Formalisation of operator φ — CPTP channels
- Theorems — formal results
- CC predictions — CC-specific falsification criteria
- Fano selection rules — Fano selection rule for Yukawa couplings
- Gap semantics — dual-aspect semantics of 49 elements
- Gap dynamics — Gap operator, bifurcations, non-Markovian dynamics
- Gap thermodynamics — information geometry, potential
- RG flow of Gap — -functions, fixed points, RG suppression of
- Higgs sector — uniqueness of the line , Higgs mass
- CKM matrix — Fritzsch texture, Cabibbo angle, CP phase
- Yukawa hierarchy — Pendleton–Ross fixed point,
- Proton decay — -leptoquarks,
- Dark matter — -sector relic,
- G₂ structure — covariance of the Fano dissipator